2012-11-01
2012-11-30
x george w. bush

STATION
MSNBCW 43
MSNBC 34
FOXNEWS 31
CSPAN 27
CSPAN2 22
CNN 15
CNNW 15
KQED (PBS) 7
WETA 6
KGO (ABC) 5
WHUT (Howard University Television) 4
WMAR (ABC) 4
WMPT (PBS) 4
KQEH (KQED Plus) 3
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English 281

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.m. or future days. the romney campaign is watching closely florida, virginia and ohio. there are very few victory strategies contemplated by boston, the romney campaign, that don't include the buckeye state and they're concerned about signs of high turn-out in the northern part of ohio where the detroit auto bail-out was a big mallet which the president pounded mr. romney. on the southern border of ohio along kentucky, particularly along cincinnati, hamilton county, big optimism and turn-out for the republican campaign. virginia, florida, ohio romney believes so go though so goes the country. romney has only written one speech, a victory speech. >> carl cameron. let's get straight to the president's camp in chicago and ed henry. >> shep, the president has been getting very wistful. it started in iowa what started the obama movement. he said today he was crying partly because it was cold out and thinking back four years ago and thinking about everyone turning out for him last night. he is hoping for big turn-outs in big battlegrounds. i got off the phone with one of the president's senior

to lead in like ohio and florida. we'll pick up pennsylvania. we think we have a good shot at virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> e see how all those states were blue? his confident predictions that john mccain was going to win all those states in 2008 were wrong in every single instance. they lost every single one of those states. even though it seemed like he was going to win all of those states the day before the election. he didn't say like he felt they were going to win. he said they have the polling data that showed they were going to win and they did not win in any of those states. this is just part of the way the game is played. it's just bluffing. and that is important context for understanding what's going on in the last four days of the campaign. there are patterns to how presidential elections end. some of the same stuff happens every four years. specifically, in 1992, the republican candidate was poppy bush. he went and campaigned in pennsylvania. and then the next day, he lost pennsylvania. the next election, 1996

cain is leading in the states he's got to lead in like ohio and florida. we're going to pick up pennsylvania. we'll think we got a real good shot in virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. you know, that's the pathway to victory for john mccain and we're excited. we're hoping to see a lot of people out there in chicago on election night with barack obama experiencing a long, cold night, as we learn that john mccrane surprised them and won. >> it's nice he wishes physical discomfort on his political enemies, just gratuitously throwing that in. but notice what exactly he was so confidently predicting there. the day before the election in 2008, it was mitt romney. these were his predictions for states that john mccain was definitely going to win. >> john mccain is leading in the states he's got to lead in like ohio and florida. we'll pick up pennsylvania. we think we have a good shot at virginia, new hampshire, new mexico, nevada. that's the pathway to victory for john mccain. >> you see how all those states were blue? mr. romney's confident predictions that john mccain was going to win ohio,

parts of florida. yes, florida all over again. some people are waiting three hours or more to vote and we will be asking why governor rick scott in florida is refusing to extend hours as his predecessors have done. but we start with tonight's lead. the closer. just four days to go and president obama is sprinting to the finish line with a passionate pitch to ohio voters and he's doing so by dismantling governor romney's rationale in this race one line of the obama argument, i am the guy you know. >> after four years as president, you know me. you may not agree with every decision i've made, you may be frustrated sometimes at the pace of change, but you know that i say what i mean and i mean what i say. you know what i believe. you know where i stand. you know i tell the truth. and you know i fight for working families every single day as hard as i know how. >> we know what this president believes. but governor romney -- >> with these guys, it all depends on who you're talking to, where you are, what time of day it is, what state you're in, what the polls say. how the weather is. it

state. in florida, nbc news now jekting president obama to be the winner in florida. it only took them four days after the election to be done. that puts president obama at 332 votes and president obama at 206 electoral votes. meanwhile, we've got a new result to bring you from california as well. republican congresswoman mary bono mack has conceded defeat so democrat ruiz will take office. bono mack served 14 years in office and she connie mack also lost election this year. >>> the obama administration pushing back, a deadline for the state to submit plans for health care exchange. a piece of the affordable health care act. they will now have an extra three weeks. states have the option of stepping aside and allowing the federal government to run it for them. the resignation of the general petraeus who stepped down as cia director on friday. multiple government sources tell nbc news that e-mails between petraeus and broadwell were indicative of an extramarital affair. kristen welker is joining me. let's start with the fbi investigation into this biographer paula broadwell. what can yo

the importance of that state by now. and two points ahead of governor romney in florida. but within the margin of error. also, early voting in florida ends today after the number of early voting days in that state is cut by half this year. 25 million people have already voted early in 34 states and washington, d.c. >>> and back to the frenetic pace on the campaign trail. both candidates have already held rallies in new hampshire, iowa, and wisconsin. >> you do want to be able to trust your president. you want to know -- you want to know that -- that your president means what he says and says what he means. after four years of president, you know me. you may not agree with every decision i have made. you may at times have been frustrated by the pace of change, but you know what i believe. you know where i stand. >> made a lot of promises, but those promises he couldn't keep. and the difference between us, he made promises he couldn't keep. i'm making promises i have kept and i will keep them for the american people. i have a clear and unequivocal message, and that is america is about to come ro

, not only virginia but also florida in the southeast to be competitive in this race tonight, but that is not enough. as we move to the midwest he's going to have po pick off one of the key states in barack obama's fire wall, either ohio or wisconsin because you see what happens right there, if the president gets both ohio and wisconsin he only five votes away from an electoral lock. >> well, this is the difficult route that br has. he has to take the atlantic coasts sta s states and move i into the midwest and start picking off midwestern states. early in the night if he sees trouble in those, it's going to be a very difficult night for mitt romney. he has to win those three atlantic coast states. >> if he doesn't, if the president wins any one if we go back to the what if board in the middle. any one of these in play where he's ahead or tied he has 270 electoral votes. >> let's head off to richmond, virginia, with amy klobuchar robach. i know you're at a dnc headquarters. >> reporter: i'm wearing purple. it was completely coincidental but very appropriate because this is a

charles wells to look back at the 2000 election result in florida and we'll discuss the history of close presidential elections with presidential historian richard norton smith p. -- smith. [captioning performed by national captioning institute] [captions copyright national cable satellite corp. 2012] [captioned by the national captioning institute --www.ncicap.org--] >> from this location of fairfax high school in fairfax, pretty busy so far. closed at 7:00. florida closing at 8:00 tonight. ohio also closing later after that. the first tally of votes coming in from dixville knocks, new hampshire. -- knox, new hampshire. by the way, c-span's coverage of election day 2012 starts at 8:00 this evening with the interactive result on the house and governor's races. you can see a real-time display of the balance of powers. live video from both the obama and romney headquarters. plus, you can get reaction as well. again, join us tonight. we invite you to join us at 8:00 starting on c-span. listen to it on c-span radio. also tune into c-span.org for more information and other informatio

of the battle ground states. florida still too close to call right now. people voted late in the night and officials still ned to count the absentee ballots. >> steve: hispanics in colorado voted three-one and giving him colorado. he also took the state of iowa 52-46 for romney. >> brian: we thought that was going to be closer. all important state of ohio. this was neck and neck . it was the bellweather. union household incrosed support to the by five points . not a surprise. comny won north carolina which obama took last time around. mitt romney was able to grab. virge rirge and florida isn't in his column. >> gretchen: half of wisconsin voters have a favorable opinion of paul ryan, it was not enough to give romney a win. he lost his home state. >> brian: that was a dominant win in wisconsin. >> steve: despite the push in pennsylvania. voters gave the 20 electoral vote to president obama. >> brian: what happened to dead heat and too close to call. pennsylvania, president obama got out in front and never let go. we have long. john roberts is with mitt romney in headquarters and phil ke

, david? >> florida and virginia right now. you want-- >> ifill: do you have a white board? >> i wish i did. i'm not that spiffy. we talked a lot about ohio. but to get to ohio mitt romney has to hurdle florida and virginia. and we've really got no real information but little whiffes of information, looking pret competitive in both places. so the romney people should be looking nervously at both those states. >> woodruff: why do you say that, because they thought they would be doing better? >> because of who is come out to vote, the exit polls. they looked close in those state and romney really has to win those. >> ifill: what information are you picking up? >> i'm always fasinated by david's whiffs, and i think virginia is interesting because they had to extend the voting hours in virginia, from normal closing. >> woodruff: based on long-- >> long lines that people were in lines, which i think-- democrats are always cheered by larger turnout. that's a rule of thumb. >> ifill: we just heard in virginia they had to keep the polls open or won't-- they won't report results until 8:00, even

doubt about tomorrow's outcome. the president in ohio, wisconsin and iowa. governor romney in florida, virginia, ohio and new hampshire. running mates and surrogates also dotting the swing state map. governor romney's got kid rock, bruce springsteen is campaigning with the president, but in the end, it is down to the candidates and often to the candidates' last vocal cord. >> now's the time to keep pressing forward. educate our kids and train new workers. bring troops home. care for our veterans. broaden opportunity. grow our middle class. restore our democracy mange sure that no matter who you are, no matter where you come from, no matter how you started out, no matter what your last name is, you can make it here in america if you try. wisconsin, that's why i need your vote. and if you're willing to work with me again and knock on some doors with me, make some phone calls for me, turn out for me, we'll win wisconsin. we'll win this election. >> he can't change washington from the inside, only from the outside. we're going to give him that chance in a day or two. >> millions of people

but this campaign has been counting on, quite frankly, florida or virginia to be called and, of course, ohio and they can see all of our coverage and all of the net works talking a lot about ohio but this room, they're politically clued in and knows that this campaign needs ohio. i'm tethered to the broadcast location but i haven't seen any of the top key advisers. they're sort of hunkered down as are the romneys. mitt and ann in a hotel room with the five boys and the grandchildren and paul ryan also here in boston. he's not in the room with the romneys. he and his wife and his mother who has been on the trail with him, they're staying at another hotel here in boston, not far from here but they're watching the returns come in separately. i have reached out to a couple of sources on the campaign and can tell you the night is not over. these states are very close along the east coast, florida, virginia, as i mentioned earlier, they're not ready to certainly concede anything, but they're also not terribly upbeat about the way the night is unfolding. >> to sharyn alfonsi in wisconsin and she's

, 63% has already voted. in florida 53%. iowa 44%. and ohio 31%. john dickerson and i were talking about this earlier today. we could have most of the results already by the people that have come out early and that's why the campaigns spent so much time on getting out the vote early, this ground game on these early votes. >> pelley: we'll come back to you early and often. john dickerson is our cbs news political director. john is going to be showing us the various ways that the candidates can get to the 270 electoral votes necessary to twin presidency. john? >> well, first, scott, let's follow up on what bob was saying. we're going to dispatch with 41 of the states, the majority of the country cbs estimates based on the polling that those states are either going to go to barack obama or to mitt romney. that gives barack obama a start where he's likely to get 237 electoral votes, mitt romney is likely to get 191 electoral votes. so here we are at the beginning of the evening, nothing has been called, it's all possibility. so what is the easiest past for each candidate to get to that

. >>> and these massively long voting lines in florida didn't happen by accident. the former florida gop chairman is spilling all the secrets from behind the curtain tonight. >>> and what in the world are these naked people doing in speaker boehner's office today? you're watching "politicsnation" on msnbc. >>> president obama won a mandate to help the middle class. now he's hitting the road to make sure republicans in washington get message. that's next. to his underarm. axiron, the only underarm treatment for low t, can restore testosterone levels back to normal in most men. axiron is not for use in women or anyone younger than 18. axiron can transfer to others through direct contact. women, especially those who are or who may become pregnant, and children should avoid contact where axiron is applied as unexpected signs of puberty in children or changes in body hair or increased acne in women may occur. report these signs and symptoms to your doctor if they occur. tell your doctor about all medical conditions and medications. do not use if you have prostate or breast cancer. serious side effects

this election. >> trouble at the polls. long waits in early voting lines in ohio and florida, but put tempers to the test. >> let them vote! >> the other big wild card, sandy. a week after the storm recovery efforts are still winding slowly through the hardest hit. new jersey governor chris christie who praised president obama's response to sandy repeated his support for mitt romney. sort of. >> on tuesday i'm voting for mitt romney because i think he's the best guy for the job. it doesn't mean that i can't turn to the president of the united states of america and say to him, thank you, sir, for providing good leadership in this crisis. >> and whom do you trust? the grid iron predicts. a redskin hometown defeat favors the challenger but the lsu/alabama matchup offers good news for the incumbent. >> and good day. i'm andrea mitchell live in democracy plaza in new york city. joining me for our daily fix, chris cizilla, msnbc contributor, and managing editor of post politics.com and mark halperin political analyst for "time" and msnbc. so, first to you, chris, let's talk about the state of the r

'll talk about what happened in florida as well. you have three to four hours. people have jobs and have places to go, but they also want to vote. it is utterly important. what's going on there? >> reporter: in ohio there is only one early voting center for every county. so, for instance, a couple of weeks ago i was in dlcolumbus where the early voting center is outside of columbus. it was the same scene. there's only one center in each county. a lot of people want it to vote early. some had to vote early because of work schedules tomorrow, and that's why the lines are so long. tamron. >> thank you very much in cincinnati. greatly appreciate your time. for the candidates themselves, this is it. right now president obama just landed in ohio, the state where you saw those long lines just a second ago, after a morning stop in wisconsin. mitt romney is headed to his second stop in virginia. the president will close out his final day of campaigning in iowa, the state that pushed him into the national spotlight. mitt romney will make his land stand later today in his home away from home, new h

. >> appreciate all the work you are doing. >> then back to boston to await returns with often eye on florida, ohio and virginia, team romney expects as they go, so will the nation. for months despite record spending, record campaign activity, record advertising, neither candidate really been able to break away from the other. tonight in boston there is optimism. hope, anxiousness. preparation for what could be a very late night that could spill in tomorrow or beyond. megyn, bret? >> thank you. >> bret: now to chief white house correspondent ed henry in chicago. sned >> good evening, bret. last night, the obama camp was predicting a blow-out. we got off the phone with the senior advisors saying they have to admit florida, virginia, and slew of battlegrounds are too close to call. >> president obama tried to displace calm and confidence today -- >> i expect we will have a good night. >> it was clear last night the magnitude of the moment set in. as he waits to find out whether he will secure his place in history as a transformational president or mere one-term wonder. >> he said yes, we can. a

of the room. .. >> now florida governor rick scott talks governing in florida and talk about expanding access to health care and the annual national lawyer's convention in washington, d.c. hosted by the federalist society. the topic is the future of constitutional law and the supreme court. this is just over half an hour. >> good morning, for the first address today, we welcome a man who is no stranger to hard work. raised in ad 340est household, learned the value of money, hard work, and traditional values, and this guided his pursuit of the american dream ever since. after earning the ged from smu, worked in the largest law firm specializing in health care manners. later, in founding the hospital corporation, he established what has become the largest for-profit health care conglomerate in the nation. they employee over 199,000 people, that's job creation, of course. [applause] it provides quality health care to millions of people, but he didn't rest there. they have also worked with a group calledded world vision to provide primary health care, a primary health care system in kenya, and he

, we may be looking at another recession as well. >> reporter: his election campaign stops in florida, virginia, ohio and new hampshire are critical. while they carry a combined total of 62 electoral votes, any one of them could make or break his chances. and he's not finished yet. a top campaign official confirms he will make more stops on election day. back in ohio and in pennsylvania. a state romney suddenly sees moving his way. but complicating his message, his final targeted states feature unemployment rates that have plummeted in recent months. florida's governor rick scott says that's no thanks to the president. >> guess what? the biggest drop in unemployment in the country is in our great state of florida. and you know what? government didn't do it. you did it. >> what we see now is an administration and a presidency littered with broken promises. >> reporter: romney's running mate, paul ryan, who's largely stayed out of the spotlight in the final days of the campaign, has started to ratchet up the rhetoric. on a conference call with religious conservatives, ryan warned the pr

press still hasn't called a winner in florida. why not? and why were the lines so long at some polling places across the country? ray suarez gets some answers. >> brown: john merrow tells the story of pediatricians with a new prescription: books to build better brains. >> there's solid research that shows that just that intervention of handing a family a book, giving them a couple of age-appropriate pieces of advice about how to read with their kid and just encouraging reading, they-- those kids will do better in school. >> woodruff: and from politics here to the power shift in china. margaret warner looks at the communist party congress charged with unveiling that country's new leadership. >> brown: that's all ahead on tonight's "newshour." major funding for the pbs newshour has been provided by: ♪ ♪ moving our economy for 160 years. bnsf, the engine that connects us. and by the alfred p. sloan foundation. supporting science, technology, and improved economic performance and financial literacy in the 21st century. and with the ongoing support of these institutions and foundations

down here in south florida. the c-span buses also here and we are handing out bookbags with our partners, comcast here in the miami area so if you happen to be in the area come on down. we are at miami-dade college on the northside of downtown miami. for the miami book fair. in just a minute, that panel at chapman hall at miami-dade college will be giving dave barry and the onion editors humor columnist all of them, will be introduced by brad meltzer. he will be moderating a panel and will be joining us later. mitch kaplan will also be speaking and he is the founder the miami book fair. he will be introducing and opening the weekend coverage. in just a minute we will take you to chapman hall and you can see it's rather full for dave barry and all and we will be begetting our coverage very soon. we are live on booktv. [inaudible conversations] [inaudible conversations] and. [inaudible conversations] [inaudible conversations] [inaudible conversations] [inaudible conversations] [inaudible conversations] [inaudible conversations] [inaudible conversations] >> good morning. i had a li

in florida, another one showing obama up by five points. [laughter] guest: same weekend? there are two polling firms out there, that there have been real questions about. going back to the point that andrew made, you have to make an assumption that some point. is turnout going to be like it was in 2004? which was even between the parties? or will it be more like 2008, with seven points for the democrats? my preference is to look in between. but what the poll has been doing in particular is looking more at what it was in 2008, which political pollsters will tell you, it will not be at that point. it needs to be somewhere near where the republicans were in 2008. host: the annual crystal ball contest from "the washington post." jim cramer, predicting that mitt romney will get 98 electoral votes, the president, 440? he is the only one predicting a landslide for the president. guest: he is the only one predicting that. i am a democratic partisan, i would love to see that, but i do not think it will be close to that. host: only two are predicting that mitt romney will win, the other 11 sayin

, that would be a bad sign to them. 8:00 is also florida. but they do not expect early returns but that's another state. they feel they have to do extremely well if they're going to be able to chip in to states like wisconsin, like iowa which doesn't close until 10:00 eastern time. so i would say these early southern states are... they are particularly watching. the advantage of virginia from their perspective in terms of prognosticating is that virginia has a history of being fairly rapid in getting its returns reported especially from northern virginia which is where at the very least the romney camp feels they have to cut into what might be a barack obama lead there. >> ifill: margaret warner in boston. stay warm if possible. we'll be talking to you all night long. and we have one more projection. this is in a u.s. senate race in vermont. bernie sanders the independent who caucuses with the democrats in vermont has been re-elected. before we look at some of the initial results in the senate races a word about our projections. the newshour doesn't call any race. it is our policy to re

waiting hours to cast their absentee ballots there. you know the deal in florida. battleground state, one of the battleground states getting a visit from mitt romney. as he and the president are maximizing each and every campaign hour. president obama is hitting wisconsin, iowa, and, of course, ohio, before heading to chicago. and very soon he will be rallying the crowds in columbus, getting a boost from some a-list celebrities. meantime, mitt romney, he is traveling up the eastern seaboard with stops in florida, ohio, virginia, and, of course, new hampshire. and during the next hour we will take you live to his event in fairfax, virginia. speaking of mitt romney, he's already making his case in lynchburg and jim acosta son the campaign trail with him. hey, jim. >> reporter: with a slew of new battleground state polls showing mitt romney trailing president obama only slightly on this day before election day, the gop nominee is making his closing argument to voters. at a campaign stop here in virginia, and earlier this morning in florida, romney warned the crowd that the country could be i

played a big role in that state as well. moving on to florida, this one is not called yet 4 obama 1 mitt romney -- for obama or mitt romney. north carolina, the economy had a big impact. and also three out of five of voters said they would want some or all of the health-care law appealed. you see mitt romney on top in north carolina. he gets that battleground state. in a virginia, and 2008, obama the first democratic president to win. in 40 years. moving on to new hampshire. new hampshire from independents make up 45% of the electorate. president obama came out on top, a 52% to 47%. all of these results can be found on our web site at c- span.org. host: obama hits historic high with hispanics, winning 71%. he won 71% of the hispanic vote, the largest margin of victory with latinos in history. and politic of this morning, obama's re-election, 12 takeaways. number 1, 2008 was not a drill. for months, republicans have been working under the assumption that a bad economy would combine with an ebbing of the electorate that gave obama a victory in 2008. white voters would represent a higher po

supreme court rejected the florida supreme court's plan for a recount in florida and suggested they quickly come up with a new plan that would guarantee the same vote standards in all florida county. but in that same ruling the unite supreme court said there was no longer to do so. the december 12 deadline has come and within an hour ago passed. from the george w. bush camp, weber. >> they are of course very pleased and gratified. >> reporter: the five justices in the majority, rehnquist, scalia, sandra day o'connor. the four in the minority were ginsburg, briar, stevens and sutter. in his blistering decent justice stevens called the bush legal appeal a federal assault on the laws of florida. quote one thing is certain, although we may never know with complete certainty the identity of the winner of this year's presidential election, the identity of the loser is perfectly clear, it's the nation's confidence in the judge as an impartial guardian as the rule of the law. as of an hour ago, aids to gore said he had no decision on what to do next. we talked to congresswoman loghne

carolina president obama took every single battleground state. the only remaining question is florida which hasn't yet been called and where the president still holds a lead. last night at 12 minutes past 11:00, 12 minutesfirst declared the winner in 2008 the president clenched ohio and with it re-election. but a few were too shocked to believe it. >> all i'm saying is is that look we've had one instance where we're -- where something was prematurely called. >> karl rove is here with michael back there with the decision desk. we would like to refer to this as cage match 2012 bring it go. >> just before midnight while karl rove protested ay held at his rtz in dave weigel tweeted -- nobody tell rove but the ohio gop has conceded and gone home. at 12:50 in the morning, romney called to congratulate the president and shortly after used his concession speech to call for national unity. >> i so i had been able to fulfill your hopes to lead the country in a different direction, but the nation chose another leader and so ann and i join with you to earnestly pray for

the romney campaign in florida because it's getting desperate. the miami-dade democratic party joins me with just how this is playing out in florida. or that you had to print from your desk. at least, nobody said it to us. introducing the business smart inkjet all-in-one series from brother. easy to use, it's the ultimate combination of speed, small size, and low-cost printing. >>> coming up, with only five days to go before the election mitt romney turns to the kitchen sink strategy and unloads every lie he's got in the pantry. we'll have the details coming up. >>> then the united autoworkers file an ethics complaint in order to learn more about mitt romney's investments and profits that he made during the automobile loan. we'll visit with uaw president bob king. >>> and during the height of the hurricane sandy, nurses at nyu's langone medical center worked tirelessly to save newborn babies. one of those nurses will join me later to share her experience. and you can share your thoughts with us on facebook and on twitter using #edshow. we're coming right back. copd includes chronic bron

and on facebook. >>> coming up, a down and dirty ad from the romney campaign in florida because it's getting desperate. annette taddeo of the miami-dade democratic party joins me with just how this is playing out in florida. can you help me with something? nope! good talk. [ male announcer ] or free windows 8 training when you buy a computer at staples. another way staples makes it easier to upgrade. when you buy a computer at staples. when you take a closer look... ...at the best schools in the world... ...you see they all have something very interesting in common. they have teachers... ...with a deeper knowledge of their subjects. as a result, their students achieve at a higher level. let's develop more stars in education. let's invest in our teachers... ...so they can inspire our students. let's solve this. >>> coming up, with only five days to go before the election mitt romney turns to the kitchen sink strategy and unloads every lie he's got in the pantry. we'll have the details coming up. >>> then the united autoworkers file an ethics complaint in order to learn more about mitt romney'

healthcare to learn about medicare plans that may be right for you. call now. jenna: we've talked a lot about florida, also pennsylvania, but florida this campaign season. the electoral votes in florida at 29, more than any other battleground state, which is one of the reasons we've talked so often with steve voscay, the tallahassee bureau chief of the ""tampa bay times"." you've covered elections in your day, what strikes you about this one. >> it's back to the ground game and a high turn out for both candidates, both romney and obama, the rain has moved through here. the weather is improving. this could be the first election in florida where we break the 9 million vote barrier. there's never been 9 million or more people vote in anee collection and the secretary of state here this morning predicted a record turn out because more than 4.5 million people have already voted. jenna: wow. >> about hatch the votes are in the bag so to speak. jenna: 9 million passing that mark would be significant, because we're talking so much about voter turn out. to you, what are you watching the rest of the day as to

, michigan, florida, new hampshire, getting the vast majority of political events. of course in these last 48 hours, all of the candidates back in ohio and virginia. this programming note, we will have a final campaign rally by the president where he campaigned in iowa. we will have the final appearance in new hampshire of mitt romney tomorrow evening. of course, we are here live all day today as well. michigan, independent line. our question, who is going to win and why? caller: i think that president obama will win. good morning, steve. i think the president will win by a good margin. i have always been a conservative republican. you can see what the republican party has done to people like ron paul, and he was not even given a voice at the national convention. i think that the system is corrupt and people have no choice but to vote for obama. host: thank you for the call. this comment -- host: "the new york daily news," supporting barack obama in 2008, supporting mitt romney in their editorial. inside it says -- "our choice for the future." host: that is from "of the new york daily news" e

there about job growth and how governor romney's ideas won't work. >> but here's the thing, florida. we know what change looks like. what governor romney's offering ain't it. giving more power back to the biggest banks, that's not change. another $5 trillion in tax cuts for the wealthy, that's not change. refusing to answer questions about the details of our policies until after the election, that's definitely not change. >> president obama also told voters that he would fight hard for them and their families. and if you hope the polls will shed some light on who will win? forget about it. cnn editor paul stein hauser is here to do the math for us. paul, what do the national polls look like? >> two days to go, and we have four polls that are nonpartisan and came out since midnight. let's start with the abc news/"washington post." 48% of likely voters supporting the president. 48% supporting mitt romney. how about nbc news/"wall street journal," pretty much the same story, a 1 percentage point ahead of mitt romney. and pugh research center, they came out with obama with a 3 point advantage. t

virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> good morning. look at that, how beautiful. we are here. we are here. what are we, a day away? this is so exciting. good morning, everyone. >> he said it wasn't going to be close. and then he said it was going to be close. maybe he was talking about president clinton. >> it's monday, november 5th, the day before election day. we have with us mike barnicle, senior political analyst, mark halperin, willie's just walked in. i don't know why you're laughing. >> me? >> no, mike. >> this lighting is disturbing. i don't know who did it. i don't like it. i'm just going to say that right up front. but i'm happy this weekend -- today because this weekend there was a huge sporting event that all the world tuned to. and i can tell you i've never been more proud of the vanderbilt commodores, dudley stadium. >> no, they went on the road and did that. they went to kentucky, to commonwealth stadium. sure. 40-0, 5-4. mika, one more win and vandy's bowl eligible. look how excited mika is. >> that's amazing. >> midas. >> laugh it

florida. his team does. i don't think it's a double-digit lead, but they're feeling good about florida. they're feeling good about wisconsin. they think the apparatus in place from the efforts on behalf of scott walker are going to galvanize republicans and make sure that a ground game turns out the vote. the same for mitt romney and paul ryan. they are feeling good about a lot of states where they've closed with the president, if they haven't surpassed him. what they're always hoping, too, tamron is that this is 1980 and that there's going to be a last-minute wave for romney. had they come to the polls, they go, i've really gone back and forth. it's time for something new and that he ends up winning, and maybe it's not by a landslide, but by a very healthy margin. and that's what they're counting on in these final days. >> keith, let me bring you in. i want to play a little bit of what the director of marist polling had to say about what we're seeing in some of these numbers. let's play it. >> mitt romney's favorable, unfavorable is still upside down in iowa, not in new hampshire or w

a catastrophe from north dakota to florida and everywhere in between. who was to blame for that? that is not an esoteric matter. there is a named person in charge of making sure republicans win senate seats. there was somebody who was in charge of that. for every election. and that specific person in this election obviously failed catastrophically. that specific person is named john cornyn. today the republican party appears ready to respond to his atrocious failure at this job this week. by giving mr. cornyn a promotion. he's getting a reward for nearly shooting the moon in the senate. for doing as bad as humanly possible. at the last job the republican party gave him. the republican party moving forward, apparently would like him to be the number two republican in the whole senate right behind mitch mcconnell. and that is calling failing up. which is amazing on its own terms. in terms of republicans in the senate. i think we also should wonder if that is instructive for how the republican party is going to deal with the overall question of who their leader is and what they sta

in new hampshire, then florida, ohio, and a final stop in colorado just after midnight. and here is where mitt romney is going. he starts in des moines, iowa, ohio, pennsylvania, and virginia. you can count on us to be there every step of the way. >>> mitt romney ended his day yesterday in colorado at the rally in englewood. he had an admission about day one of a romney presidency. >> when i'm elected, the economy and american jobs will still be stagnant, of course, but i won't waste any time complaining about my predecessor. from day one i'm going to go to work to help americans get back to work. >> another big named endorsement for the president. he's now got the support of israel's oldest newspaper. they say obama is good for israel. quote, the outcome of the elections will be determined by the voter's decision as to which of the two candidates are better for america. but if any of them are vacillating whether hob has been a good president for israel, the answer is question. kind words by a big paper but the endorsement is expected to have little effect on the voters here. >> the u.s.

monolithic voting group. vicky, i want to turn to you, the florida numbers are particularly fascinating approximate this. we were looking at a recent poll from the miami herald that looks at sort of obama and romney support. when you include cuban americans in the counting, president obama is leading by a slight margin, 51%. if, however, you look at it with cuban americans excluded from it, then all of a sudden president obama it leading at about 65%. obviousli obviously, that's an krags indication that you end up with national origin and other issues. >> i think florida is a microcosm for that diversity. in south florida, the miami area, you have a cuban american vote that's very republican. regardless of the generation. then you go into the i-4 corridor and you see the explosion of the puerto rican vote. interestingly enough, you have democrats but also a growing number of independents. then if you go even further, you have a smattering of mexican americans. what is the trend for the future there. it's not mexican americans in texas. it's going to be puerto ricans and cuban americans.

. the electoral vote. 270 needed to win. president obama 303, governor romney 206. still unassigned, 29, florida is conducting a recount. >>> was this election a mandate, a landslide, a rout, a speaker, a marginal win, what was it? >> it is a significant victory by the president of the united states by more than 2 million votes, john. i don't believe it is a mandate. >> why isn't a mandate if it is such a big win? >> a mandate for what? a mandate to work together, certainly the entire country wants that. but the real fire bell in the night on this election is for the republican party. there are 100 million folks in this country who are black, brown, asian, hispanic, middle eastern, they voted between 70 and 90% democratic and the white vote only went by 18 points to mitt romney. john of the seven largest states in the country, illinois, new york, pennsylvania, california have gone democratic in six straight elections. the other two, ohio and florida have swung democratic in two elections. and in texas, the white folks in chief connection texas -- texas are now a minority. >>> do you think this w

ohio, virginia and florida, popular vote pretty close in the end. in the end he got out the partisans in much the same numbers in 2008 and that's what won it for him. >> paul: so, kim, you're saying that's about 100 million dollars or more that the obama campaign poured on mitt romney on bain capital on his tax returns on the fact that he's a pluto kratt, and making him to be gordon gecko without the social-- and romney, would you agree they made a fatal mistake in not countering the attack ads? >> i think it was the mistake and there was a belief in the romney campaign that somehow if you were responding you were losing, but by sitting back and not doing anything, they didn't have a lot of money and this was the primary season hadn't been opened up to the general campaign dollars yet, but by sitting back, they did allow the president to brand him that way and when you looked at the exit poll numbers and questions people asked, that was certainly the impression left with lots of americans. >> paul: and jason,the romney camp told me in august they didn't feel they had enough money to r

fighting for florida electoral votes it will be close. in 2008 president obama beat mccain. but it shows mitt romney is slightly ahead there. >> poll precinct workers are showing up first voters will line up. we are on the west side of the critical i-4 corridor. and the south florida miami-dade and brower tend to vote for democratic nominee and northern and panhandle a lock for the republican. and that's why the swing corridor is so critical. four years ago obama won boy 7 points and before that bush bet kerry by 7 points and there is a lot of enthusiasm and competition between mitt romney and president obama. early lines of and days of voters in broward and palm beach county and yesterday, another 45,000 early votes state wide and select counties allowed in person absentee ballot and technically and legally it was set to end 7:00 p.m. democrats filed suit and tried to extend the hours and governor scott never agreed to that and those were not extended. here are the early look. floridians. four and half million floridians have already voted in the presidential election . there is roughly

the summer. >> rose: let me ask about florida, john harris, and pennsylvania. >> it looks like florida is most likely in romney's camp. not certain. it seems to me that if obama wins florida he's going to win a bunch of other states and we'll have a map that looks more like 2008 than we've been thinking this last month or so where hi would win most of the state he is won in 2008 minus north carolina and indiana. that's an early night for us all. althoughs pennsylvania better than i do. i don't think it's been awe thenltally in play. i think there was a series of head fakes going on but that's never been a central battground. >> rose: mark? >> well, they're winning pennsylvania because this is the first campaign where no one has to make choices about money because they have enough to spend and they had extra money and there wasn't any other place to put and the public polls make it clear it's closer. the president will win by a more narrow margin than four years ago. i think that the -- i agree with matthew the fundamentals matter most of all. ohio is a tricky place, though, because whi

, florida still too close to call. but he has the electoral votes. he needs 274 to mitt romney's 243. both with 49%. only several hundred thousand votes now separating the president from mitt romney in the popular vote. he's clearly won the electoral vote and there's so much anticipation in chicago for his acceptance speech. >> the loser will come out and give the concession speech first. so, i'm sure president obama is awaiting mitt romney to accept forward and acknowledge he has been defeated and then president obama comes forward and says hopefully in a gracious way, that he has won. we are looking live at the stage in boston, as a matter of fact, where the crowd, a lot more subdued as you might expect is awaiting mitt romney to step forward and at some point i suspect soon, we will hear from the former governor of massachusetts who as we said is in boston. he will come forward to acknowledge he has been defeated despite running a very tough and hard campaign against an incumbent as has been noted many times, this is the first time since franklin roosevelt has been re-elected with unemp

that marco rubio had this plan of his own. governor romney had been campaigning in florida with marco rubio and was asked do you agree with what senator rubio was saying on immigration and he hesitated. he said i have got to think about it. i have to wonder if that wasn't a moment that might have changed the course of a lot of things. >> it could be. i think one of the realities here and mary catherine was touching on this. i think you will see core constituencies rush to people like marco rubio and say tell us how you would do this. i think it raises rubio's stature within the party. you have to look at the business community and people in the high-tech sector and wall street who want immigration reform to get the best brains into the country and are willing to make concessions if you tell them we can get the best people here. >> the system is a mess and horribly complex just as most things in the federal government. but this is not some sort of quick fix where you say you are for this and it involves the problems. it's policy were the on issues barack obama would have paid a price or brag

an event today in ohio. he now heads to pennsylvania, virginia and florida. we have two new nbc wall street marist polls out for you. president obama holds a 6-point lead among likely voters in ohio. 51 to 45%. then in the sunshine state the president gets support of 49% from likely voters. mitt romney coming in with 47%. let's head to mentor, ohio where the president is holding a campaign stop. we're following very closely with nbc's chris janzen's help. chris a good day to you. let's get to what the president is saying in his final pitch to the ohio voters. why is he there in mentor, specifically? >> reporter: good afternoon, alex. there is one group, one reason why the president is here. he's white work class voters. it's a group where the president has been behind nationally, having a tough time getting to 40%. but it's closette here closest . five points separated him and mitt romney in working class voters. take a look at the statistics in mentor. i know this very well. i grew up in lake county. 95% white. $61,000 median income. that's about $10,000 above the national average. it's th

say. these are the states with polls that are opening right now. state of delaware, state of florida, state of georgia, illinois, kansas, louisiana, maryland, massachusetts, michigan, missouri, pennsylvania, rhode island, south carolina, tennessee, and washington, d.c. you're looking at a live picture now from wilmington, delaware, where joe biden is expected to vote at any moment. the vice president then will head to chicago to watch the returns with president obama today. mitt romney is not letting up on this election day. he's added two campaign campaign stops today in cleveland, ohio, and in pittsburgh, pennsylvania. there are already legal issues that are plaguing two battleground states. state of florida, where there are more long lines yesterday, and democrats are suing to extend early voting hours, even though those early voting hours legally ended on saturday. then the state of ohio, where a hear something now set for wednesday morning to hear arguments about the rules for counting provisional ballots. final tally from the buckeye state could take weeks. >>> and in the after

cain/palin campaign, steve schmidt? >> coming attraction. >> good tease. >> he's down in south florida. we also have mark haleprin, senior political analyst, and look at this, this is huge. >> we have michael steele. >> michael steele here. >> oh, my gosh. >> it's a great way to start. >> wow. >> great way to start six hours of coverage. >> thank you. >> we also have john heilemann, he's in chicago. >> yes, we do. >> do we have john heilemann. >> great. that's great. >> this is a fun game. >> throw out a name and see if they're here. >> we started this really well. >> you know, in major league baseball, t.j., getting 4 out of 5 right, you would be -- >> that's pretty good. >> it'll get you fired on election day. hey, everybody let's vote. fire t.j. okay. here we go. mika, the "new york times" talks about now it goes to the voters state-by-state, "usa today" talks about decision time. today's a huge day? >> yes, people are choosing on the direction of the country. >> yeah, what do you think? >> i think it'll be obama but it'll be close and that'll be good for everybody. >> okay. well, that's one day.

florida has learned since. >>> ♪ and on this veteran's day, we look to the thousands of men and women who have served and we'll ask if their needs have been met over the past four years, and we'll look ahead to the next four years, you're watching msnbc, the place for politics. >>> earlier we saw president obama honoring our nation's veterans during the traditional laying of the wreath ceremony at the tomb of the unknown. one of several events being held to pause and commemorate veterans day, from the sight as and sounds of parades like this in new york city, to the sheer silence of families visiting grave sites at arlington cemetery. today we all pause to thank and remember. >>> were veterans' issues honored on the campaign trail? some say not enough. governor romney neglected to mention veterans or america's wars during his speech at the republican national convention and after president obama said he would continue to fight for veterans during his acceptance speech they were not very prominent for the rest of his campaign. joining me now is former democratic congressman patrick murphy,

to the state of florida on wednesday. it's expected to hit nework and new jersey. >> new orleans wins at home. philadelphia needed a win. didn't get it. >> are your hometown chicago bears good enough to win the super bowl? >> yes, they are. >> you have a favorite team? >> the patriots, and i take personal full responsibility for their two super bowl wins. >> is it true you did some shows with no audience last week? >> yes. >> what was that like? >> about like tonight. >> and all that matters. >> it's a couple hours off from work tomorrow. >> on "cbs this morning." >> did you go to the polls and vote yet? >> yes. >> was it exciting? >> it was a blast. captioning funded by cbs >>> welcome to "cbs this morning." this is the day when voters choose the next president of the united states. the traditional first votes have already been counted in new hampshire in the tiny village of dixville notch. president obama got five votes and governor mitt romney got five. and the outcome is expected to be just as close nationwide. >> that's right. three new polls of likely voters have just come out. one of t

for failure. florida senator marco rubio, the son of cuban immigrants and a republican suggests the problem is both substantive. >> it's hard to make an argument to people that think that you want to deport their grandmother. >> decisive in 2012. 53% of the votes this year were cast by women who favored president obama by ten points. >> my wife is a democrat, and she was so close to voting for mitt romney, but then, you know, murdock and akin opened their mouths, and we sent them running back to the democratic party because they think we're nut where i. >> actually, married women tended favor mitt romney, but single women, a growing part of the population, went 3-1 for the president. >> i have just called president obama to congratulate him on his victory. >> republicans have two years until the midterm to try to shed a little of the old off the grand old party and reach out to a quickly changing american demographic. they do not lack for suggestions. >> my ideal republican party would be republican party that was fiscally conservative, conservative on foreign policy and military policy, an

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